A/B Test: Choose One Primary Metric for a Home-Screen CTA Color Change
You are running an A/B test for an app that changes the color of its primary home-screen call-to-action (CTA). You must select exactly one primary metric and defend it. Provide the following:
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Primary Metric Definition
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Exact definition: numerator, denominator, unit of analysis (user or session)
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Inclusion/exclusion rules (e.g., new vs. returning, employees/testers)
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Exposure definition (what counts as seeing the CTA)
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Attribution window and time horizon
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Rationale
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Why this metric is the most sensitive and business-aligned for a visual color change
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Why alternatives (e.g., CTR variants, raw revenue) are inferior here
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Guardrail Metrics
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List guardrails (e.g., bounce, crash rate, latency, retention)
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Explicit thresholds and actions if breached
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Novelty and Contamination Mitigation (first 48 hours)
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How to mitigate novelty effects and returning-user contamination (e.g., holdbacks, cooldowns, analysis windows)
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Sample Size/MDE for 48-Hour Decision
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State baseline funnel rates explicitly
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Provide the minimum sample size or minimum detectable effect (MDE) required to ship/no-ship within 48 hours