Energy Transition Case: Feasibility, Capacity, and Options
Context (assumptions to interpret the case)
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Treat $/MWh values as constant market prices (pre-tax, ignore financing, depreciation, and inflation unless asked).
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Fixed costs occur annually; variable costs scale with MWh produced.
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Capacity figures are annual maximums unless capped by policy.
Questions
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What factors would you consider when evaluating Energy One's transition from fossil fuels to renewable power?
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Fossil-fuel plant economics:
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Max capacity: 8.8 million MWh/year
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Lease:
5million/month(i.e.,
60 million/year)
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Other fixed cost: $25 million/year
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Variable cost: $20/MWh
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Revenue (price): $40/MWh
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Initial investment (capex): $400 million
2a. How many MWh are needed annually to recover 10% of the initial investment through operating profit?
2b. Does your calculated production volume make sense relative to the plant’s maximum capacity? Explain.
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If government policy caps fossil-fuel generation at 5 million MWh/year, which alternative power sources should Energy One pursue and why?
3b. If no new power sources are added, what levers could keep profitability stable under the 5 million MWh cap?
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Test plants:
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4a. Solar test plant:
12.5millioncapex;production:75
0/MWh; price $40/MWh. How many years to break even?
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4b. Ethanol test plant:
2.5millioncapex;production100,000MWh/year;variablecost
30/MWh; price $40/MWh. How many years to break even?
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With no budget limit, which test plant would you recommend and why?