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Model Unique Recipients with Poisson Distribution and Test Fit

Last updated: Mar 29, 2026

Quick Overview

This question evaluates understanding of count-data modeling and statistical goodness-of-fit assessment, focusing on distributional assumptions for modeling the number of unique recipients per caller.

  • medium
  • Meta
  • Statistics & Math
  • Data Scientist

Model Unique Recipients with Poisson Distribution and Test Fit

Company: Meta

Role: Data Scientist

Category: Statistics & Math

Difficulty: medium

Interview Round: Technical Screen

##### Scenario Modelling the distribution of the number of unique recipients each caller contacts to support capacity and growth planning. ##### Question Which statistical distribution would you use to model the number of recipients per caller and how would you test the goodness-of-fit? ##### Hints Compare Poisson, binomial, negative-binomial; check over-dispersion; fit via maximum likelihood; validate with chi-square, KS test, or AIC.

Quick Answer: This question evaluates understanding of count-data modeling and statistical goodness-of-fit assessment, focusing on distributional assumptions for modeling the number of unique recipients per caller.

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Meta
Jul 12, 2025, 6:59 PM
Data Scientist
Technical Screen
Statistics & Math
44
0

Modeling Unique Recipients per Caller

Scenario

You need to model the distribution of the count of unique recipients each caller contacts in a fixed time window. The goal is to use this model for capacity and growth planning (e.g., forecasting server load, messaging throughput, storage).

Question

Which statistical distribution would you use to model the number of recipients per caller, and how would you test the goodness-of-fit?

Guidance

  • Consider common count distributions: Poisson, Binomial, Negative Binomial (and variants).
  • Check dispersion (mean vs variance) and the presence of excess zeros.
  • Fit via maximum likelihood.
  • Validate with AIC/BIC, Pearson/Deviance goodness-of-fit, chi-square tests for discrete counts, discrete KS or simulation-based checks.

Solution

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