Portfolio Risk Identification and Mitigation Proposal
Context
You are evaluating a commercial/corporate lending portfolio. Assume you have loan-level data with: obligor ID, sector/industry, region, facility type, exposure at default (EAD), probability of default (PD, 12m), loss given default (LGD, downturn), maturity, collateral type and loan-to-value (LTV), rate type (fixed/floating), coupon/spread, covenant quality score, rating, and historical performance. You can run simple stress scenarios (e.g., GDP −2%, rates +300 bps, CRE prices −20%).
No raw dataset is provided; make reasonable, clearly stated assumptions. Use small numeric examples to justify your decisions.
Task
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Identify the top five risk exposures in the portfolio (e.g., single-name concentration, sector/geography, collateral/LTV risk, covenant risk, interest-rate sensitivity, refinancing walls, FX mismatch, etc.).
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For each exposure, propose specific mitigation actions (e.g., collateral adjustments, covenants, limits, hedging, pricing changes, sell-down/participations, risk transfer).
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Justify each recommendation with quantitative and qualitative evidence (e.g., EL/UL/EC contributions, stress impacts, concentration indices, industry outlook), including formulas or small numeric examples where helpful.
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State any assumptions and describe how you would validate the effect of your mitigations (monitoring, backtests, scenario checks).