Scenario
Instagram is considering adding a "Show similar products" button on product-tagged content to boost shopping-related engagement. The feature has not launched yet.
Task
Convince a Product Manager the feature is worth testing and design an experiment, using only existing interaction data (no feature data yet), to estimate potential impact and make a launch decision.
Questions
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What proxy metric(s) from existing logs would you use to estimate the feature’s likely impact on engagement, and why do they map to the proposed button?
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How would you construct historical baselines and simple models to project impact (upper/lower bounds)?
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How would you design an experiment to decide whether to launch the button, including:
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Randomization unit and any cluster randomization to mitigate network effects
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Control versus treatment definition and exposure eligibility
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Primary metrics, secondary metrics, and guardrail (health) metrics
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Significance level, power, and duration
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What specific criteria would signal it is safe to roll the feature out broadly?