Facebook Messenger: Should We Add P2P Payments?
Scenario
Facebook Messenger is considering launching a Venmo-like peer-to-peer (P2P) money transfer feature.
Task
Assess whether adding P2P money transfer in Messenger is worthwhile from a business perspective. Address the following:
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Business goals and north-star metric(s); success and guardrail metrics.
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Potential negative impacts and risks.
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Monetization paths and simple unit economics.
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Experiment or pilot/beta design to measure impact:
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Choice of experiment type (e.g., A/B vs. geo holdout) and randomization unit.
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Variants to test.
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Sample size and duration (with assumptions).
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Metrics and decision criteria.
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How to compare engagement between beta participants and non-participants (e.g., difference-in-differences).
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Handling contamination if control-group users request access.
Hint: Define a clear north-star metric, guard against spillovers, outline causal assumptions, and quantify revenue paths.