A/B Test Design: New Recommendation Algorithm
Objective
Design a rigorous A/B test to estimate the incremental impact of a new recommendation algorithm on gross merchandise value (GMV).
Tasks
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Define the experimental design and randomization strategy.
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Specify the primary metric and guardrail metrics, and justify each choice.
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Compute the per-variant sample size given:
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Baseline conversion rate: 3%
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Expected relative lift: 7%
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Significance level: α = 0.05 (two-sided)
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Power: 0.8
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Explain how to handle novelty effects and uneven seasonality across groups.
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Describe how you would interpret results if the primary GMV metric is flat but secondary engagement metrics improve.
Hints
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Discuss randomization strategy, CUPED or other variance reduction, sequential testing, and post-test segmentation.