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Design A/B Test to Measure PayPal Cashback Value

Last updated: Mar 29, 2026

Quick Overview

This question evaluates an interviewee's ability to design and analyze a randomized experiment to quantify incremental value for a retail partner, covering experiment design, metric taxonomy, power/sample-size calculations, statistical testing, and variance-reduction techniques.

  • hard
  • PayPal
  • Analytics & Experimentation
  • Data Scientist

Design A/B Test to Measure PayPal Cashback Value

Company: PayPal

Role: Data Scientist

Category: Analytics & Experimentation

Difficulty: hard

Interview Round: Onsite

##### Scenario Design an A/B test to prove PayPal cashback delivers value to Walmart. ##### Question How would you structure the experiment to measure value for Walmart? Define primary, secondary and guard-rail metrics. Describe your power analysis approach and explain p-value interpretation. If results miss the minimum detectable effect, what steps would you take? Power is insufficient but timeline cannot be extended—what alternatives (e.g., CUBED) can help? ##### Hints Show end-to-end experimental design: metric taxonomy, sample-size math, sequential testing or CUPED/CUBED fixes, and mitigation plans.

Quick Answer: This question evaluates an interviewee's ability to design and analyze a randomized experiment to quantify incremental value for a retail partner, covering experiment design, metric taxonomy, power/sample-size calculations, statistical testing, and variance-reduction techniques.

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PayPal logo
PayPal
Aug 4, 2025, 10:55 AM
Data Scientist
Onsite
Analytics & Experimentation
1
0

Scenario

PayPal plans to offer a targeted cashback incentive for purchases at Walmart. You need to design an A/B test that convincingly demonstrates the value this cashback creates for Walmart (not just for PayPal), while respecting practical constraints of time and data.

Task

Structure an end-to-end experiment to measure the value for Walmart, including:

  1. Experiment design
    • Unit of randomization, eligibility, treatment/control definition, stratification, exposure/compliance, instrumentation, and interference controls.
  2. Metric taxonomy
    • Define primary, secondary, and guard-rail metrics that reflect value to Walmart.
  3. Power analysis and sample-size math
    • Show how you would set the minimum detectable effect (MDE), estimate variance, compute sample size, and adjust for clustering or variance reduction.
  4. Statistical testing plan
    • Explain p-value interpretation, multiple testing control, and whether/how you’d use sequential testing.
  5. If results miss the MDE
    • Outline steps to salvage learning and decision-making.
  6. If power is insufficient and the timeline cannot be extended
    • Propose alternatives such as variance reduction (e.g., CUPED/CUBED), pre-post designs, or geo/synthetic-control approaches that allow a credible read within the fixed time.

Hints

  • Include metric definitions and formulas.
  • Show example numbers for sample size calculations.
  • Discuss sequential testing and variance reduction (e.g., CUPED/CUBED) and mitigation plans for data/operational risks.

Solution

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