Estimate QR Code Scan Rate for Super Bowl Ad
Forecasting a QR-Code Super Bowl Ad Funnel
Context
You are advising a brand running a QR-code Super Bowl TV spot. The goal is to forecast and then measure the acquisition funnel from TV viewership to QR scans and ultimately to new account sign-ups. Assume you can access first-party web/app analytics and standard TV delivery data; ad-partner conversion data may be limited.
Tasks
(a) How would you estimate the percentage of viewers who will scan the QR code?
(b) What data sources would you use?
(c) If only prior TV campaign data is available (no ad-partner conversion data), how would you approximate the scan rate?
(d) How would you estimate the conversion rate from scan to account sign-up?
Constraints & Assumptions
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Preserve the scope, facts, inputs, and requested outputs from the prompt above.
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If the prompt leaves a detail unspecified, state a reasonable assumption before relying on it.
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Keep the answer interview-ready: concise enough to present, but concrete enough to implement or evaluate.
Clarifying Questions to Ask
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Clarify the business objective, unit of analysis, time window, exposure definition, and primary metric.
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State assumptions about instrumentation, randomization, sample size, and data quality.
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Separate descriptive analysis from causal claims.
What a Strong Answer Covers
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A metric framework with primary, guardrail, and diagnostic metrics.
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A credible analysis or experiment design with clear assumptions and bias checks.
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SQL/statistical logic for segmentation, variance, confidence, and data validation where relevant.
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An actionable recommendation that explains trade-offs and next steps.
Follow-up Questions
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What sanity checks would you run before trusting the result?
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How would you handle novelty effects, seasonality, or selection bias?
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What decision would you make if metrics disagree?