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Estimate Successful Sign-ups from Super Bowl QR Code Ad

Last updated: Mar 29, 2026

Quick Overview

This question evaluates a data scientist's competency in marketing analytics, attribution modeling, funnel analysis, event instrumentation, and causal inference for estimating incremental sign-ups from an advertising campaign.

  • medium
  • Coinbase
  • Analytics & Experimentation
  • Data Scientist

Estimate Successful Sign-ups from Super Bowl QR Code Ad

Company: Coinbase

Role: Data Scientist

Category: Analytics & Experimentation

Difficulty: medium

Interview Round: Technical Screen

##### Scenario A cryptocurrency company airs a Super Bowl commercial featuring a QR code; viewers who scan and complete sign-up receive a $15 coupon. ##### Question How would you estimate the total number of successful sign-ups generated by this Super Bowl advertisement? ##### Hints Consider audience size, scan rate, funnel conversion, historical comps, coupon redemption, and ways to validate assumptions with sampling or controlled experiments.

Quick Answer: This question evaluates a data scientist's competency in marketing analytics, attribution modeling, funnel analysis, event instrumentation, and causal inference for estimating incremental sign-ups from an advertising campaign.

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Coinbase logo
Coinbase
Jul 12, 2025, 6:59 PM
Data Scientist
Technical Screen
Analytics & Experimentation
20
0

Estimating Sign-ups from a Super Bowl QR Code Ad

Background

A cryptocurrency company airs a national Super Bowl commercial featuring a bouncing QR code. Viewers who scan and complete sign-up receive a $15 coupon.

Assume “successful sign-up” means a new, verified account (including KYC) completed within a 7-day attribution window after exposure to the ad.

Task

How would you estimate the total number of successful sign-ups generated by this advertisement? Outline a practical approach that:

  1. Defines the metric and attribution window.
  2. Proposes a top-down funnel model from audience to verified sign-ups.
  3. Uses available data (QR/landing/app logs, coupon issuance/redemption, app store installs) to build a bottom-up measurement.
  4. Separates incremental lift from background activity.
  5. Validates assumptions with sampling or controlled experiments.

Hints

  • Audience size and attention (TV + streaming reach; fraction actively watching during the spot)
  • Scan rate (given attention), landing success, app install, account creation, KYC completion
  • Historical comps for conversion rates and coupon redemption lag
  • Coupon issuance vs redemption as a proxy
  • Methods to validate assumptions: short-window sampling, randomized QR parameters, geographic/time holdouts, pre/post baselines, difference-in-differences

Solution

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