Timed Case: Fashion Retail Profit Decline — Diagnose and Recommend
Context
You are analyzing a fashion retailer whose profit has declined year-over-year. Assume you have typical retail exhibits for the last 12–18 months vs. prior year: category/SKU, channel, region, price, units, revenue, discounts/markdowns, returns, variable fulfillment/shipping, COGS, and fixed costs.
Task
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Quantitatively decompose the profit decline into drivers (price, volume, mix, discounting/markdowns, returns, variable costs, fixed costs, channel/category mix, etc.). Identify the top drivers by dollar impact.
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Propose 2–3 actionable, data-backed initiatives to restore profitability, with rough impact sizing and how you would validate them (experiments/causal analysis).
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Deliver a concise 60-second executive summary suitable for senior leadership.
Deliverables
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Driver diagnosis (clear, MECE, quantified) with brief methods/assumptions.
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2–3 prioritized initiatives with back-of-the-envelope impact and a validation plan.
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A 60-second executive summary script.
Guidance
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Prioritize issues with the largest quantitative impact.
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Keep the final summary MECE, clear, and persuasive.
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Make minimal, explicit assumptions where the exhibits are incomplete.