Test Billboard Campaign Conversion Rate Exceeds 60%

Quick Overview

Evaluates one-sample proportion testing for a billboard conversion rate with 65 conversions out of 100 users. Strong answers state one-sided hypotheses, compute the standard error and confidence interval, run the correct z test against 60%, and interpret why statistical evidence may be insufficient.

Test Billboard Campaign Conversion Rate Exceeds 60%

Company: TikTok

Role: Data Scientist

Category: Statistics & Math

Difficulty: easy

Interview Round: Onsite

##### Scenario Statistical evaluation of billboard campaign: sample shows 65 % conversion on N=100 users; test if true rate exceeds 60 %. ##### Question State the null and alternative hypotheses for this one-sided test. Compute the standard error, 95 % margin of error, and confidence interval. Based on the interval, decide whether to reject H0 at α=0.05 and interpret the result. ##### Hints Use SE = sqrt(p(1-p)/N); margin = 1.96*SE; compare lower bound with 0.60.

Quick Answer: Evaluates one-sample proportion testing for a billboard conversion rate with 65 conversions out of 100 users. Strong answers state one-sided hypotheses, compute the standard error and confidence interval, run the correct z test against 60%, and interpret why statistical evidence may be insufficient.

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Jul 12, 2025, 6:59 PM
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Test Whether a Billboard Campaign Conversion Rate Exceeds 60%

A billboard campaign sample contains N = 100 users, and 65 of them converted. You want to test whether the true conversion rate is greater than 60%.

Constraints & Assumptions

  • Treat this as a one-sample proportion test.
  • Assume the sample is independent and reasonably representative of the population being evaluated.
  • Use a one-sided test at alpha = 0.05 .
  • Show both the confidence-interval intuition and the formal hypothesis-test result.

Clarifying Questions to Ask Guidance

  • What counts as a conversion, and over what time window?
  • Was the sample randomly selected from exposed users or from all eligible users?
  • Are repeated users or clustered observations present?
  • Is the 60% threshold a business target, a historical baseline, or a contractual benchmark?

Part 1 - State the Hypotheses

State the null and alternative hypotheses for the one-sided test.

What This Part Should Cover Guidance

  • A null hypothesis representing no evidence that the true conversion rate exceeds 60%.
  • An alternative hypothesis that the true conversion rate is greater than 60%.
  • Recognition that the test is one-sided.

Part 2 - Compute Standard Error and Confidence Interval

Compute the standard error, 95% margin of error, and 95% confidence interval for the observed conversion rate.

What This Part Should Cover Guidance

  • Use of p_hat = 0.65 and N = 100 for the Wald confidence interval calculation.
  • Standard error sqrt(p_hat * (1 - p_hat) / N) .
  • Margin of error 1.96 * SE and the interval p_hat +/- margin .
  • Explanation that the two-sided CI is a useful descriptive check but the formal one-sided test uses the null standard error.

Part 3 - Make the Test Decision

Using a one-sided z test, decide whether to reject the null at alpha = 0.05 and interpret the result.

What This Part Should Cover Guidance

  • Test statistic based on p0 = 0.60 : (p_hat - p0) / sqrt(p0 * (1 - p0) / N) .
  • One-sided p-value and comparison with 0.05 .
  • Conclusion that distinguishes "not enough evidence" from "the conversion rate is definitely not above 60%."

What a Strong Answer Covers Guidance

A strong answer states the hypotheses clearly, computes the interval correctly, uses the proper one-sided test statistic for the decision, and explains the practical meaning of failing or succeeding to reject the null.

Follow-up Questions Guidance

  • How would the conclusion change if the sample size were 1,000 with the same observed rate?
  • When would you prefer an exact binomial test over a normal approximation?
  • What additional validity checks would you run before trusting the result?
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