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Calculate Expected Links and Conditional Probability for Users

Last updated: Mar 29, 2026

Quick Overview

This question evaluates understanding of basic probability concepts including expectations for independent Bernoulli trials, event probabilities, and conditional probability in a finite user population, and falls under the Statistics & Math domain.

  • easy
  • Coinbase
  • Statistics & Math
  • Data Scientist

Calculate Expected Links and Conditional Probability for Users

Company: Coinbase

Role: Data Scientist

Category: Statistics & Math

Difficulty: easy

Interview Round: Technical Screen

##### Scenario Users are prompted to link their Coinbase wallet; each user independently links with probability p. ##### Question Given n independent users with link probability p: 1) What is the expected number who link? 2) What is the probability at least one user links? 3) For two users A and B, what is the probability both link conditioned on at least one of them linking? ##### Hints Use linearity of expectation; at-least-one equals 1−(1−p)^n; conditional P(A∩B | A∪B) = p^2 /(2p−p^ 2).

Quick Answer: This question evaluates understanding of basic probability concepts including expectations for independent Bernoulli trials, event probabilities, and conditional probability in a finite user population, and falls under the Statistics & Math domain.

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Coinbase logo
Coinbase
Aug 4, 2025, 10:55 AM
Data Scientist
Technical Screen
Statistics & Math
2
0

Wallet Linking Probabilities

Context

Each of n users independently links their Coinbase wallet with probability p. Let A and B denote two specific users from this population.

Questions

  1. What is the expected number of users who link?
  2. What is the probability that at least one user links?
  3. What is the probability that both A and B link, conditioned on at least one of them linking?

Solution

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