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Compute probability with colored balls draws

Last updated: Mar 29, 2026

Quick Overview

This question evaluates understanding of probability theory, conditional probability, and probabilistic modeling under nonstandard draw rules (replacement of a specific color), emphasizing counting and likelihood computation.

  • medium
  • Virtu Financial
  • Statistics & Math
  • Data Scientist

Compute probability with colored balls draws

Company: Virtu Financial

Role: Data Scientist

Category: Statistics & Math

Difficulty: medium

Interview Round: Technical Screen

##### Question You have 5 red, 5 blue, and 5 green balls in a bag. You draw balls one at a time without replacement, but each time you draw a green ball you return it to the bag. You keep any red or blue balls drawn. When you have three balls in hand, what is the probability that at least two of them are red? Follow-up: If instead the bag initially contains 10 red balls (with the same 5 blue and 5 green), what is the probability that at least two of the three balls held are red?

Quick Answer: This question evaluates understanding of probability theory, conditional probability, and probabilistic modeling under nonstandard draw rules (replacement of a specific color), emphasizing counting and likelihood computation.

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Aug 4, 2025, 10:55 AM
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Probability with Replacement-on-Green Draws

Context

You have a bag with colored balls. You draw balls one at a time. Any time you draw a green ball, you put it back (it does not count toward the balls you hold). Any red or blue ball you draw is kept and removed from the bag. You stop once you are holding 3 balls (i.e., 3 kept balls, all of which are red or blue).

Questions

  1. The bag starts with 5 red, 5 blue, and 5 green balls. What is the probability that at least two of the three held balls are red?
  2. Follow-up: If instead the bag starts with 10 red, 5 blue, and 5 green balls, what is the probability that at least two of the three held balls are red?

Solution

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