Market Sizing: How Many Travelers Arrive in India From Abroad

How many people enter India from abroad? Build an estimate and walk the interviewer through it. ```hint Size it in pieces Split the people arriving into groups whose numbers start from different facts you can reason about, and settle which border crossings and which time period you are counting before you multiply anything. ``` ### Clarifying Questions - Over what period: a typical day, a full year, or the peak travel season? - Do Indian citizens and residents returning from trips abroad count, or only foreign visitors? - Which entry points count: international airports only, or land border posts and seaports too, including the open border with Nepal, where many people cross without a passport check? - Should the answer count entries or distinct people, given that frequent travelers enter several times a year? ### What a Strong Answer Covers - A definition of what counts as entering India, and over what period, agreed before any arithmetic. - A breakdown of arrivals into traveler groups, each sized from its own stated assumption. - Round numbers, labeled assumptions and arithmetic the interviewer can follow and check. - An independent cross-check, such as how many arrivals international flights could carry, plus a sanity check of the result. - How the figure varies by season and mode of entry, and which assumption moves it most. ### Follow-up Questions - How would your answer change if crossings on the open border with Nepal were included, and how would you estimate them? - How would you turn the yearly figure into the number of arrivals in one large airport's busiest hour, to plan immigration staffing? - A bank wants to size a travel money product for people arriving in India. Which of your segments matter most, and what would you refine first?