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Compute probability second largest is below 2/3

Last updated: Mar 29, 2026

Quick Overview

This question evaluates understanding of order statistics, uniform probability distributions, and probabilistic reasoning, specifically the ability to relate order-statistic events to counting/binomial interpretations and compute corresponding probabilities.

  • medium
  • Capital One
  • Statistics & Math
  • Data Scientist

Compute probability second largest is below 2/3

Company: Capital One

Role: Data Scientist

Category: Statistics & Math

Difficulty: medium

Interview Round: Technical Screen

Let U1, U2, U3 be i.i.d. Uniform(0,1). Compute P(U(2) < 2/3), where U(2) is the second largest (i.e., the second order statistic). Derive it two ways: (i) using the CDF of the k-th order statistic, and (ii) by interpreting it as “at least two samples fall below 2/3” via a Binomial model.

Quick Answer: This question evaluates understanding of order statistics, uniform probability distributions, and probabilistic reasoning, specifically the ability to relate order-statistic events to counting/binomial interpretations and compute corresponding probabilities.

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Capital One
Oct 13, 2025, 9:49 PM
Data Scientist
Technical Screen
Statistics & Math
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Order Statistic Probability: P(U_(2) < 2/3)

Context

You draw three independent samples U1, U2, U3 from Uniform(0, 1). Let U_(1) ≤ U_(2) ≤ U_(3) denote the order statistics (sorted values). For n = 3, U_(2) is the median and also the second largest.

Task

Compute P(U_(2) < 2/3) in two ways:

  1. Using the CDF of the k-th order statistic.
  2. By interpreting the event as "at least two samples fall below 2/3" and using a Binomial model.

Solution

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