Find the Probability That Three Circle Points Fit in a Semicircle

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Quick Overview

Derive the chance that three independent uniform circle points fit in a semicircle. Use angular gaps to build a Monte Carlo check and explain why multiplying a trial success rate again causes double-counting.

Find the Probability That Three Circle Points Fit in a Semicircle

Company: Squarepoint

Role: Quantitative Researcher

Category: Statistics & Math

Difficulty: easy

Interview Round: Technical Screen

What is the probability that three points on a circle all lie within some semicircle? Derive the answer and describe a Monte Carlo check that does not double-count successful trials. ### Constraints and Clarifications For the practice model, sample the three points independently and uniformly on the circumference. The source does not fully specify the sampling distribution; points sampled inside a disk or by another mechanism would be a different problem. Closed versus open semicircles differ only on probability-zero boundary events in this continuous model. ### What a Strong Answer Covers Use rotational symmetry or a disjoint-event argument, explain why the candidate semicircles do not double-count ordinary configurations, and specify a simulation success condition. ### Follow-up Questions - How can sorted angular gaps identify whether a semicircle contains all points? - How does the argument extend to n independent uniform circle points?

Overview: Derive the chance that three independent uniform circle points fit in a semicircle. Use angular gaps to build a Monte Carlo check and explain why multiplying a trial success rate again causes double-counting.

Read the full Squarepoint Quantitative Researcher interview experience this question came from

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Squarepoint
Oct 25, 2026
easyQuantitative ResearcherTechnical ScreenStatistics & Math
1
0

What is the probability that three points on a circle all lie within some semicircle? Derive the answer and describe a Monte Carlo check that does not double-count successful trials.

Constraints and Clarifications

For the practice model, sample the three points independently and uniformly on the circumference. The source does not fully specify the sampling distribution; points sampled inside a disk or by another mechanism would be a different problem. Closed versus open semicircles differ only on probability-zero boundary events in this continuous model.

What a Strong Answer Covers Guidance

Use rotational symmetry or a disjoint-event argument, explain why the candidate semicircles do not double-count ordinary configurations, and specify a simulation success condition.

Follow-up Questions Guidance

  • How can sorted angular gaps identify whether a semicircle contains all points?
  • How does the argument extend to n independent uniform circle points?