Investment Decision: Vegan Burger R&D and Launch Business Case
You are evaluating whether to invest now in R&D to develop and launch a plant-based (vegan) burger. Build a quantified business case and an experimentation plan to inform the go/no-go decision.
Deliverables
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Recommendation: Invest now or defer? State your decision and rationale.
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Size of prize:
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Define and quantify TAM, SAM, and SOM over a 3-year horizon.
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Unit economics:
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Expected price, net revenue, variable costs, and contribution margin.
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Fixed costs and recovery timeline:
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R&D, tooling/capex, marketing, SG&A. Estimate break-even timing and NPV/IRR.
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Risks and mitigations:
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Supply, operations, and brand risks, with concrete mitigations.
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Option value:
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Learning benefits and future line-extension potential.
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Test-and-learn plan:
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MVP spec, pilot markets/channels, experimental design, KPIs, guardrails.
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Clear criteria:
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Kill, pivot, and scale thresholds.
Make minimal, explicit assumptions and show your math. Where exact data is unavailable, state reasonable ranges and perform sensitivity analysis.